La Serena vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
28.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
EVE
0 - 4
DLS
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
DLS
0 - 0
UNI
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
OHI
0 - 0
DLS
57%
24%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
DLS
0 - 0
UCH
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
DLS
2 - 0
CUR
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
NUB
5 - 1
COL
28%
26%
47%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
SWA
1 - 2
NUB
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
HUA
5 - 3
NUB
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
NUB
3 - 1
CSL
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
CDM
1 - 1
NUB
43%
28%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |