La Serena vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
USF
1 - 1
DLS
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
DLS
0 - 1
ULC
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
COQ
1 - 0
DLS
44%
25%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
DLS
2 - 1
IBE
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 4
DLS
55%
25%
21%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
NUB
0 - 2
IBE
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
NUB
0 - 2
SAN
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
MAG
2 - 1
NUB
43%
26%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
NUB
1 - 1
SAN
55%
24%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
CUR
1 - 1
NUB
62%
23%
16%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |