La Serena vs Recoleta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
14.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
6º
1º
40
1º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
80% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
DLS
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
DLS
2 - 0
LIM
53%
26%
22%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DSC
1 - 1
DLS
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
DLS
2 - 0
SAN
65%
22%
13%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
UCO
0 - 1
DLS
25%
26%
49%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Recoleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
DER
1 - 2
SAN
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
DER
2 - 2
ANT
35%
26%
40%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LIM
1 - 0
DER
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
DER
53%
25%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
DER
5 - 0
UCO
41%
27%
33%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +2 |