La Serena vs Coquimbo Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
28.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
9º
14º
11º
35
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
35 | 54 |
1º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 53 |
2º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 52 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 50 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 47 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 45 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 45 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 43 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 40 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 38 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 36 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 36 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 33 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 33 |
14º
|
27% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 29 |
15º
|
36.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 24 |
16º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 29.5% |
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
1.5% | 40% |
|
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
|
7.5% | 27.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
84% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
7% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
UCO
1 - 3
DLS
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2025 |
DLS
2 - 1
IQU
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
DLS
1 - 1
CSL
38%
25%
38%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
ACS
2 - 1
DLS
44%
27%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
NUB
2 - 0
DLS
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Coquimbo Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
COQ
0 - 0
PAL
36%
28%
35%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
ULC
0 - 1
COQ
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
COQ
3 - 0
SAN
49%
25%
25%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
COQ
2 - 0
OHI
38%
29%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
COL
2 - 0
COQ
41%
29%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |