Sauzal B vs Machuka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
23.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+112%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sauzal B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
SAU
6 - 4
VTA
82%
11%
7%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
PER
0 - 4
SAU
11%
15%
74%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
SAU
0 - 2
INT
64%
18%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ANC
1 - 2
SAU
9%
14%
76%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
SAU
2 - 0
UDR
84%
10%
6%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Machuka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
MAC
2 - 1
HID
37%
22%
42%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
VTA
3 - 1
MAC
12%
16%
72%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
MAC
2 - 0
ORO
86%
10%
5%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
PER
0 - 5
MAC
13%
17%
70%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
MAC
4 - 0
VER
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |