Sariegos del Bernesga vs Moraleja CF analysis

Sariegos del Bernesga Moraleja CF
27 ELO 25
10.6% Tilt 3.7%
10070º General ELO ranking 10986º
665º Country ELO ranking 1003º
ELO win probability
61.3%
Sariegos del Bernesga
18.3%
Draw
20.5%
Moraleja CF

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
Sariegos del Bernesga
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
20.5%
Win probability
Moraleja CF
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sariegos del Bernesga
+13%
+1%
Moraleja CF

ELO progression

Sariegos del Bernesga
Moraleja CF
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sariegos del Bernesga
Sariegos del Bernesga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Apr. 2025
PON
Ponferradina B
1 - 3
Sariegos del Bernesga
SBE
31%
22%
47%
26 22 4 0
13 Apr. 2025
UNI
Unionistas Salamanca B
3 - 2
Sariegos del Bernesga
SBE
55%
21%
24%
26 34 8 0
06 Apr. 2025
SBE
Sariegos del Bernesga
1 - 1
Betis CF
BET
52%
21%
27%
26 28 2 0
29 Mar. 2025
PEN
Peñaranda Bracamonte
0 - 2
Sariegos del Bernesga
SBE
22%
20%
58%
25 19 6 +1
22 Mar. 2025
SBE
Sariegos del Bernesga
5 - 2
Gimnástica Medinense
MED
80%
12%
8%
25 15 10 0

Matches

Moraleja CF
Moraleja CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Apr. 2025
MOR
Moraleja CF
0 - 0
Betis CF
BET
39%
23%
38%
25 29 4 0
12 Apr. 2025
PEN
Peñaranda Bracamonte
0 - 1
Moraleja CF
MOR
24%
21%
55%
24 18 6 +1
05 Apr. 2025
MOR
Moraleja CF
3 - 0
Gimnástica Medinense
MED
74%
15%
12%
23 14 9 +1
30 Mar. 2025
BEN
Benavente
1 - 0
Moraleja CF
MOR
31%
22%
47%
24 20 4 -1
22 Mar. 2025
MOR
Moraleja CF
2 - 0
Ribert
RIB
63%
19%
19%
23 20 3 +1