CD Santa Fe vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAN
38%
29%
34%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 1
BAZ
47%
26%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
ANT
1 - 0
SAN
25%
28%
48%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
ALM
1 - 0
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 3
ALH
50%
25%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
MAN
1 - 0
BAZ
24%
28%
49%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
ALM
1 - 0
MAN
68%
20%
12%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
MAN
0 - 2
UDS
36%
27%
37%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
MAN
0 - 2
MOT
24%
29%
47%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -2 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 2
MAN
47%
29%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |