CD San Serván vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+444%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Serván
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CDB
2 - 1
CDS
40%
24%
36%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CDS
1 - 2
USA
58%
21%
21%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CAM
2 - 0
CDS
26%
25%
49%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CDS
4 - 1
SPR
68%
19%
13%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ALM
3 - 2
CDS
23%
22%
55%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
UDF
1 - 1
QUI
29%
22%
49%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
UDF
3 - 1
CDB
43%
23%
34%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
USA
4 - 1
UDF
55%
21%
24%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
UDF
4 - 2
CAM
33%
24%
42%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SPR
3 - 0
UDF
45%
24%
32%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -2 |