San Pío X vs Unión Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Pío X
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
PED
2 - 2
PIO
42%
22%
37%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PIO
2 - 1
ATL
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
REN
2 - 3
PIO
17%
19%
64%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PIO
0 - 2
RAY
69%
17%
14%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
PIO
7 - 0
ATL
54%
21%
25%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Unión Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 3
UNI
36%
22%
42%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ISI
1 - 1
UNI
83%
11%
6%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 3
NIC
38%
23%
39%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
JUV
5 - 1
UNI
80%
12%
8%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 3
VIL
52%
22%
26%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |