San Marcos Almendralejo A vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
64.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Almendralejo A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 5
CDZ
11%
16%
73%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
EXT
1 - 0
MAR
43%
22%
36%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
MAR
4 - 3
ASA
46%
22%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CPG
8 - 1
MAR
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
BIE
40%
22%
38%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
ZAF
1 - 0
UDF
61%
19%
20%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
UDF
5 - 3
RHI
53%
20%
27%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CDZ
3 - 0
UDF
50%
21%
29%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
UDF
3 - 0
EXT
84%
10%
5%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ASA
0 - 3
UDF
17%
19%
64%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |