CD San Fernando vs Sporting Hortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
13.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
NPI
3 - 2
SFN
53%
21%
26%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SFN
3 - 0
AVA
47%
25%
28%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 1
SFN
48%
24%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
SFN
0 - 2
MOR
46%
25%
29%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
STA
0 - 5
SFN
21%
22%
57%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Hortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SHO
1 - 2
SDH
21%
21%
57%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
FTO
2 - 0
SHO
30%
24%
46%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
SHO
1 - 3
SSR
25%
22%
53%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
COL
5 - 0
SHO
70%
17%
13%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
SAG
4 - 0
SHO
52%
24%
25%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |