CD San Fernando vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
43.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
COL
2 - 0
SFN
50%
25%
26%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
SFN
1 - 2
PBO
26%
27%
48%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
MEX
1 - 0
SFN
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
SFN
2 - 1
POZ
27%
27%
46%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
MAJ
3 - 0
SFN
58%
22%
20%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 4
CAR
39%
27%
34%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
GRI
3 - 3
ARA
41%
25%
35%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 1
ALC
62%
22%
16%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ADP
3 - 1
ARA
47%
25%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 1
COL
30%
24%
46%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |