CD San Fernando vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
17%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
PNT
3 - 0
SFN
53%
25%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
SFN
2 - 1
RMC
25%
27%
49%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
SFN
0 - 0
COL
60%
23%
17%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2005 |
ATM
0 - 1
SFN
44%
26%
30%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
SFN
1 - 0
GET
41%
27%
33%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
ARA
1 - 0
ATM
45%
25%
29%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
GET
2 - 0
ARA
57%
25%
19%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
ARA
0 - 3
ADP
39%
28%
33%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2005 |
NAV
1 - 1
ARA
67%
21%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
ARA
2 - 0
STA
40%
26%
35%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |