CD San Fernando vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ADP
2 - 1
SFN
45%
26%
30%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
SFN
3 - 2
ATM
57%
23%
20%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
PEG
5 - 3
SFN
44%
26%
29%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
SFN
0 - 2
LEG
59%
23%
19%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
MST
1 - 1
SFN
57%
24%
20%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ARA
1 - 1
RVB
27%
25%
47%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
ADP
2 - 0
ARA
71%
18%
11%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
ARA
2 - 1
MAJ
21%
24%
55%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ATM
2 - 1
ARA
69%
19%
12%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
ARA
0 - 1
RMC
30%
26%
45%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |