CD San Fernando vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
ATM
0 - 0
SFN
59%
23%
18%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
SFN
3 - 2
TOR
76%
16%
9%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
CIE
2 - 0
SFN
48%
26%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
SFN
1 - 1
COS
56%
24%
20%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
ADP
4 - 1
SFN
56%
24%
20%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
ARA
4 - 1
MST
19%
25%
57%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
PNT
2 - 1
ARA
77%
16%
7%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
ARA
2 - 1
PBO
36%
27%
38%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
RMC
4 - 0
ARA
85%
11%
4%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
ARA
0 - 1
STA
27%
24%
49%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |