CD San Fernando vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
58.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1994 |
TRJ
2 - 2
SFN
71%
19%
11%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1994 |
SFN
0 - 4
MST
30%
28%
42%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1994 |
COL
1 - 0
SFN
73%
18%
9%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1994 |
SFN
2 - 0
ALA
60%
23%
17%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1994 |
STA
3 - 1
SFN
53%
25%
22%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1994 |
ARA
3 - 1
VIL
87%
10%
3%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1994 |
ARA
3 - 1
TRJ
74%
17%
9%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1994 |
MST
0 - 3
ARA
40%
27%
32%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1994 |
ARA
1 - 1
COL
64%
21%
15%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1994 |
ALA
1 - 3
ARA
25%
26%
49%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |