CD San Fernando vs EF Concepción A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SFN
0 - 0
SAG
39%
25%
37%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 5
SFN
41%
22%
37%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SFN
2 - 2
COS
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 1
SFN
48%
23%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SFN
1 - 0
ADO
43%
24%
33%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
EF Concepción A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 2
EFC
73%
16%
12%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
EFC
0 - 1
ARA
19%
21%
59%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SHO
3 - 3
EFC
65%
19%
15%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
EFC
0 - 1
TOB
39%
23%
38%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SSR
0 - 0
EFC
56%
22%
22%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |