CD San Fernando vs Celtic Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SFN
2 - 1
ADU
53%
23%
25%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
COL
1 - 0
SFN
55%
22%
23%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
SFN
5 - 0
JUS
35%
23%
43%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SFN
1 - 1
ELE
62%
20%
18%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ROB
2 - 0
SFN
37%
23%
41%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Celtic Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ROB
3 - 2
CCA
67%
18%
15%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CCA
1 - 1
COS
42%
23%
36%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
POZ
3 - 0
CCA
69%
18%
12%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CCA
2 - 1
MOR
59%
19%
22%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MOR
3 - 3
CCA
57%
22%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |