CD San Fernando vs Tornado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
CIE
2 - 0
SFN
48%
26%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
SFN
1 - 1
COS
56%
24%
20%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
ADP
4 - 1
SFN
56%
24%
20%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
SFN
1 - 1
CAR
73%
18%
10%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
LEG
0 - 0
SFN
64%
21%
15%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tornado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
TOR
0 - 1
MST
16%
22%
62%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
PNT
6 - 0
TOR
81%
13%
6%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
TOR
1 - 0
PBO
22%
24%
54%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
RMC
1 - 1
TOR
89%
8%
3%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
TOR
3 - 1
STA
11%
18%
71%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | +4 |