CD San Fernando vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
61.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
ADA
5 - 0
SFN
53%
24%
23%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
SFN
4 - 2
STA
73%
18%
9%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CVI
3 - 1
SFN
43%
26%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VAL
0 - 0
SFN
55%
23%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SFN
3 - 1
CAR
26%
27%
47%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
ALC
2 - 1
MAR
60%
25%
16%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 1
RAY
7%
17%
76%
|
47 | 81 | 34 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
ALC
2 - 1
GET
30%
27%
44%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CDT
0 - 1
ALC
77%
16%
7%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 1
CDG
33%
28%
39%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |