CD San Fernando vs AD Esperanza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SFN
4 - 1
SDH
35%
24%
41%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
FTO
0 - 2
SFN
14%
20%
67%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SFN
6 - 1
CAM
71%
18%
11%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SHO
2 - 1
SFN
23%
22%
55%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SFN
1 - 1
NPI
66%
20%
14%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AD Esperanza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ADE
2 - 2
MEX
63%
18%
19%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SDH
1 - 0
ADE
73%
16%
11%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ADE
3 - 0
HEN
53%
21%
26%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
FTO
1 - 0
ADE
29%
25%
47%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ADE
1 - 1
DAG
49%
22%
28%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |