CD San Fernando vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
5.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1994 |
RVB
1 - 1
SFN
65%
21%
14%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1994 |
SFN
2 - 1
PBO
69%
19%
12%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1994 |
MEJ
1 - 0
SFN
18%
26%
56%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
SFN
0 - 0
ALC
65%
20%
14%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
ALA
0 - 5
SFN
51%
25%
24%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1994 |
ALC
0 - 1
STA
25%
27%
48%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1994 |
LEG
4 - 1
ALC
84%
12%
4%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1994 |
ALC
1 - 3
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
VIL
0 - 0
ALC
75%
16%
9%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
ALC
2 - 0
COL
53%
24%
23%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |