Sahagún P. vs Benavides analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
72.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sahagún P.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
SAH
72%
16%
12%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SAH
1 - 0
CAB
45%
21%
34%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
BON
3 - 2
SAH
44%
21%
36%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SAH
1 - 1
SOT
52%
20%
28%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
FUT
4 - 1
SAH
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Benavides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
BEN
3 - 0
VIL
74%
15%
12%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
LLI
1 - 5
BEN
39%
22%
39%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
BEN
3 - 2
FUT
52%
20%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CAB
1 - 3
BEN
12%
17%
72%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 4
BEN
28%
22%
50%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |