Rueda vs Arces analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
36.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rueda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
ATO
1 - 0
RUE
36%
22%
42%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
RUE
2 - 0
BET
40%
23%
37%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
UVA
3 - 0
RUE
24%
21%
55%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
RUE
0 - 0
RIO
62%
19%
19%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
UNI
2 - 1
RUE
32%
22%
46%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
ARC
3 - 1
BET
51%
22%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
RIO
1 - 2
ARC
44%
23%
33%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
ARC
3 - 2
UDS
27%
22%
52%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
RAC
1 - 0
ARC
53%
23%
25%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
ARC
2 - 2
AGU
57%
20%
24%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |