CD Real Sociedad vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
45.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
7º
10º
8º
13
3º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RSO
1 - 3
RES
14%
24%
62%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
RSO
1 - 1
JAG
25%
25%
51%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
OLI
5 - 0
RSO
73%
19%
9%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 0
RSO
72%
19%
9%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MOT
2 - 2
RSO
74%
18%
9%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
HNP
0 - 2
JAG
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
HNP
0 - 1
OLI
21%
26%
54%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
VID
1 - 2
HNP
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
HNP
0 - 0
RES
19%
25%
56%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
HNP
1 - 2
OLI
18%
25%
57%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |