CD Real Sociedad vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 1
RSO
66%
21%
14%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
RSO
1 - 1
PLA
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
RSO
3 - 3
MOT
21%
25%
54%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
RES
1 - 1
RSO
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
VIC
0 - 2
RSO
31%
26%
44%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
HNP
0 - 3
MOT
16%
23%
61%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
HNP
1 - 1
VID
29%
26%
46%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 1
HNP
71%
19%
10%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
HNP
2 - 0
VIC
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
JAG
3 - 0
HNP
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |