CD Real Sociedad vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
RSO
1 - 1
MOT
36%
28%
36%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VID
0 - 1
RSO
33%
27%
39%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
RES
2 - 1
RSO
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
RSO
1 - 2
PLA
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SOC
1 - 1
RSO
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
HNP
1 - 0
SOC
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
HNP
1 - 0
CON
52%
23%
26%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MOT
0 - 0
HNP
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 0
HNP
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
HNP
1 - 0
VID
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |