CD Real Sociedad vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
4 - 2
RSO
43%
27%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
JUT
2 - 1
RSO
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
JOC
2 - 4
RSO
5%
11%
85%
|
66 | 10 | 56 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
RSO
2 - 0
OLI
28%
26%
46%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
VID
1 - 2
RSO
33%
28%
40%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
HNP
0 - 1
PLA
51%
24%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
HNP
2 - 1
VID
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
AMU
5 - 0
HNP
4%
8%
88%
|
64 | 16 | 48 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
MOT
3 - 1
HNP
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
OLI
5 - 2
HNP
59%
22%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |