CD Real Sociedad vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
RES
2 - 2
RSO
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
RSO
2 - 3
JUT
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
RSO
2 - 0
MOT
36%
28%
35%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
JUT
1 - 2
RSO
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PLA
1 - 1
RSO
35%
26%
39%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MOT
2 - 1
HNP
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
HNP
1 - 1
PLA
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
VIC
1 - 4
HNP
26%
26%
48%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
HNP
1 - 1
JUT
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 2
HNP
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |