Honduras Apertura Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 3-3
CD Real Sociedad vs Deportes Savio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
28.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
DSA
2 - 0
RSO
34%
23%
44%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
OLI
1 - 1
RSO
55%
26%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 4
RSO
42%
28%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
RSO
1 - 1
DSA
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
RSO
2 - 0
VID
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Deportes Savio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
DSA
2 - 0
RSO
34%
23%
44%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
VIC
3 - 0
DSA
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
DSA
2 - 2
RES
37%
26%
36%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
RSO
1 - 1
DSA
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
DSA
2 - 2
MAR
39%
26%
36%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |