Honduras Apertura Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 4-5
CD Real Sociedad vs CD Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
48%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
VIC
2 - 1
RSO
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
JUT
0 - 1
RSO
47%
27%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
RSO
3 - 1
MOT
23%
27%
50%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
RSO
3 - 3
RES
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
OLI
2 - 0
RSO
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
PLA
4 - 2
OLI
24%
26%
50%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
MOT
1 - 0
OLI
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
OLI
6 - 0
VIC
67%
21%
13%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
OLI
2 - 2
JUT
64%
23%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
VID
0 - 0
OLI
25%
27%
48%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |