Rafelguaraf vs Carcer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
20%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafelguaraf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
RAF
58%
21%
22%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
RAF
3 - 1
GUA
37%
23%
40%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SUE
0 - 0
RAF
38%
23%
39%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
RAF
4 - 0
LAL
37%
23%
39%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
RAF
3 - 5
CIU
36%
23%
40%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Carcer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ESP
2 - 2
CAR
24%
22%
54%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 1
ALB
64%
19%
17%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 1
CAR
37%
23%
39%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 2
ALM
47%
23%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |