Quintana vs Visontium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
62.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quintana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SJE
5 - 2
QUI
52%
22%
26%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 1
QUI
63%
20%
18%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
QUI
2 - 5
NOR
59%
20%
21%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PIQ
3 - 1
QUI
34%
24%
42%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
QUI
2 - 1
ABE
82%
12%
6%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Visontium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
VIS
2 - 0
CAS
85%
11%
5%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
VIS
0 - 0
CDC
58%
20%
22%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
VIS
46%
23%
31%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
VIS
4 - 1
EST
48%
22%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ARC
0 - 4
VIS
15%
18%
67%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |