Polop vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
54.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
GOR
1 - 0
POL
38%
24%
38%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
RAF
2 - 0
POL
72%
18%
11%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
POL
1 - 3
XER
70%
18%
12%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
POL
3 - 4
BEN
69%
17%
15%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
ALT
1 - 1
POL
41%
24%
35%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
PEG
9 - 1
BEN
70%
19%
12%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ORB
3 - 4
PEG
34%
24%
42%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
REA
0 - 5
PEG
23%
23%
54%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
PEG
2 - 0
GOR
56%
22%
22%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
PEG
3 - 0
UDO
60%
22%
18%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |