Polop vs Carrús UD Ilicitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.7%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
3.5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
POL
0 - 2
VIJ
86%
11%
4%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CAM
4 - 2
POL
50%
22%
27%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
POL
3 - 2
BEN
87%
10%
3%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
UEC
1 - 0
POL
53%
21%
26%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
ISJ
1 - 3
POL
21%
22%
58%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Carrús UD Ilicitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 3
CAM
9%
16%
75%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BEN
1 - 0
UNI
40%
24%
37%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 3
UEC
9%
13%
78%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MUT
4 - 0
UNI
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 0
UNI
77%
15%
8%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |