Honduran Cup Quarter-finals
Global 6-4
CD Platense vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
41.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Platense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
PLA
2 - 2
RES
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
JAG
2 - 3
PLA
62%
21%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MOT
2 - 0
PLA
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
PLA
0 - 2
OLI
31%
26%
43%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
PLA
3 - 3
HNP
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 3
HNP
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
LEP
2 - 2
HNP
6%
13%
81%
|
63 | 18 | 45 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VID
3 - 1
HNP
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
HNP
1 - 3
RES
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
PLA
3 - 3
HNP
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |