Paguera vs Soller analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paguera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1989 |
MGJ
2 - 2
PAG
46%
26%
28%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
PAG
2 - 3
CAL
57%
24%
19%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1989 |
PCR
1 - 3
PAG
49%
26%
26%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1989 |
PAG
3 - 1
CDC
63%
22%
15%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1989 |
CON
0 - 0
PAG
56%
24%
21%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Soller
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1989 |
SLL
1 - 5
MNC
33%
26%
41%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
PBL
2 - 0
SLL
59%
24%
18%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1989 |
SLL
3 - 0
CMI
28%
27%
45%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +3 |
| 22 Oct. 1989 |
UDI
2 - 1
SLL
38%
28%
34%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1989 |
SLL
0 - 0
ALA
44%
27%
29%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |