Paguera vs Cala d´Or analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paguera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1989 |
PCR
1 - 3
PAG
49%
26%
26%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1989 |
PAG
3 - 1
CDC
63%
22%
15%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1989 |
CON
0 - 0
PAG
56%
24%
21%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
PAG
1 - 2
FRR
58%
25%
18%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1989 |
HIB
1 - 0
PAG
48%
27%
25%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cala d´Or
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1989 |
CAL
2 - 4
MNC
42%
25%
33%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1989 |
PBL
1 - 1
CAL
60%
23%
17%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1989 |
CAL
3 - 0
CMI
27%
26%
47%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +4 |
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
UDI
0 - 2
CAL
50%
25%
25%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1989 |
CAL
0 - 0
ALA
42%
27%
32%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |