CD Padura vs Derio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Padura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CDP
2 - 0
TCF
57%
22%
21%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
GAL
1 - 3
CDP
59%
21%
20%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
CDP
1 - 1
IUR
35%
26%
40%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
APU
2 - 2
CDP
53%
22%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CDP
0 - 0
RET
44%
26%
30%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
DER
0 - 1
GAL
33%
28%
39%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
IUR
1 - 1
DER
56%
26%
19%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
DER
1 - 0
APU
31%
28%
42%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
RET
3 - 0
DER
54%
25%
21%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
DER
0 - 0
CDL
31%
27%
41%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |