Cd Oriente vs UD Pavía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
8.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
+165%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cd Oriente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ORI
2 - 3
ALQ
36%
24%
40%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 4
ORI
11%
19%
70%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 2
ORI
29%
24%
47%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
COM
1 - 4
ORI
19%
23%
58%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ORI
4 - 1
ATC
78%
13%
8%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
UD Pavía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PAV
2 - 0
PAR
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MOL
2 - 1
PAV
55%
22%
23%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
PAV
3 - 0
CDA
43%
23%
34%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ALQ
2 - 1
PAV
75%
16%
10%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
PAV
2 - 4
ZUB
69%
18%
13%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -2 |