Segunda Categoría - Ecuador 1/32
Global 1-8
Orellanense vs Vargas Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
60.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
CSV
0 - 0
CDL
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
CDL
2 - 1
CSV
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 1
CSV
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
CSV
0 - 0
CAL
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |