Orcavilla vs UD Usera B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
47.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orcavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
STD
3 - 1
ORC
75%
14%
11%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
INT
9 - 2
ORC
55%
20%
26%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
ORC
0 - 9
PAR
21%
20%
59%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
SCA
11 - 2
ORC
77%
13%
10%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
ORC
2 - 1
ASO
38%
21%
41%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
UD Usera B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
USE
2 - 1
INT
45%
20%
35%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
PAR
5 - 1
USE
62%
18%
20%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
USE
4 - 6
SCA
38%
21%
41%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
ASO
0 - 7
USE
30%
21%
49%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
USE
2 - 1
CDC
44%
21%
35%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |