Orcavilla vs ADEF Usera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
71.8%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orcavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
7 - 0
ORC
89%
8%
3%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ORC
1 - 1
GGB
19%
19%
62%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CDA
5 - 0
ORC
89%
8%
4%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
PRO
3 - 0
ORC
84%
11%
6%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
ORC
0 - 2
ATV
44%
21%
35%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
ADEF Usera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
EFU
2 - 1
ATV
75%
14%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
JUV
3 - 5
EFU
22%
19%
59%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
EFU
2 - 2
RVB
72%
16%
12%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
INT
4 - 1
EFU
45%
20%
35%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
EFU
1 - 0
PAR
62%
18%
20%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |