Once Piratas vs CD Valle Guerra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
67.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Valle Guerra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
CRU
2 - 0
CDV
69%
18%
13%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CDV
2 - 1
UDF
71%
18%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
IGA
0 - 0
CDV
58%
21%
22%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CDV
0 - 0
UDG
32%
26%
42%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
CDA
0 - 1
CDV
34%
26%
40%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |