CD Olimpia vs Real Estelí analysis


76	ELO	71
-9.3%	Tilt	-11.6%
1228º	General ELO ranking	1853º
2º	Country ELO ranking	3º
ELO win probability

56.5%

CD Olimpia

24.7%

Draw

18.8%

Real Estelí

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

56.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%

24.7%

Draw

0-0

8.6%

1-1

11.5%

2-2

3.9%

3-3

0.6%

4-4

<0%

0

24.7%

18.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+20%

+24%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Olimpia

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
22 Sep. 2013	OLI 3 - 0 VID 67% 21% 12%	75	59	16
14 Sep. 2013	MAR 0 - 2 OLI 34% 29% 37%	75	66	9
08 Sep. 2013	OLI 2 - 1 VIC 62% 23% 15%	75	64	11
02 Sep. 2013	OLI 2 - 1 MOT 57% 25% 18%	75	68	7
28 Aug. 2013	OLI 0 - 2 KCW 37% 28% 35%	75	80	5

Matches

Real Estelí

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
18 Sep. 2013	KCW 1 - 1 EST 69% 20% 11%	71	81	10	0
08 Sep. 2013	DIR 1 - 2 EST 49% 28% 23%	70	70	0	+1
05 Sep. 2013	EST 3 - 0 WAL 51% 25% 24%	70	68	2	0
01 Sep. 2013	MAN 1 - 0 EST 42% 28% 30%	70	65	5	0
25 Aug. 2013	EST 3 - 0 FCS 64% 22% 14%	70	59	11	0