Honduras Apertura Playoffs Final
Global 2-4
CD Olimpia vs Real España analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
RES
2 - 2
OLI
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
OLI
3 - 1
MAR
54%
25%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 2
OLI
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
OLI
2 - 0
MAR
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2003 |
AOL
0 - 2
OLI
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
RES
2 - 2
OLI
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
RES
3 - 0
VID
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2003 |
VID
3 - 1
RES
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
RES
1 - 0
PLA
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
RES
3 - 0
NAH
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |