Navahermosa vs Valmojado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
71.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-94%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navahermosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MTJ
2 - 0
NVM
45%
21%
34%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
NVM
2 - 2
CEF
50%
21%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
TPD
4 - 0
NVM
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
NVM
3 - 0
PUE
45%
21%
34%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ORO
2 - 1
NVM
74%
15%
11%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Valmojado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 0
SGA
79%
14%
7%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
TAL
1 - 0
VAL
27%
21%
52%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VAL
5 - 0
TAL
37%
22%
40%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SCR
0 - 3
VAL
8%
15%
76%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
TOR
44%
23%
33%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |