Naschel Unidos vs San Martín Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
46.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naschel Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CNU
1 - 2
GEP
52%
21%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
CNU
3 - 3
CAH
24%
21%
55%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
SMM
1 - 0
CNU
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
San Martín Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CAH
1 - 0
SMM
56%
20%
24%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
GEP
0 - 2
SMM
34%
22%
44%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
SMM
1 - 0
CNU
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |