Murada vs Novelda UCF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.6%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
NUC
1 - 1
MUR
66%
19%
15%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
MUR
2 - 2
IND
35%
24%
41%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ALM
2 - 3
MUR
25%
23%
53%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MUR
0 - 3
CRE
28%
25%
48%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
VIJ
1 - 3
MUR
21%
20%
59%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
NUD
3 - 3
NOV
58%
21%
21%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CAL
3 - 0
NUD
78%
15%
7%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
NUD
2 - 3
UNI
53%
23%
25%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
THD
3 - 1
NUD
69%
18%
13%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NUD
3 - 0
SPO
19%
21%
60%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |