Murada vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
28.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2025 |
SPO
2 - 6
MUR
8%
15%
77%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
MUR
2 - 3
JAV
47%
23%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
MON
5 - 1
MUR
25%
22%
53%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
MUR
2 - 2
BFL
28%
22%
51%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
BEN
2 - 2
MUR
24%
23%
53%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
NOV
2 - 1
CAM
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
ALM
4 - 2
NOV
52%
22%
26%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
NOV
1 - 2
SPO
39%
23%
38%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
VIL
1 - 5
NOV
56%
20%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ATL
4 - 2
NOV
45%
22%
33%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |